Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Springfield MO 752 PM CDT Thu May 14 2020 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-160100- Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon- St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas- Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton- Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone- Taney-Ozark-Oregon- 752 PM CDT Thu May 14 2020 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Weather hazards expected... Limited tornado risk. Limited hail risk. Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk. Elevated flooding risk. Elevated lightning risk. DISCUSSION... Widely scattered thunderstorms will exit the eastern Ozarks this evening. Cloud to ground lightning will be the primary potential hazard. A line of thunderstorms will then push southeast across portions of the outlook area overnight. This line is initially expected to push into southeastern Kansas and west-central Missouri around midnight before making its way south into southern Missouri during the predawn hours.
Damaging wind gusts to 60 mph and hail up to the size of half dollars will be the primary potential severe weather hazards with this line of storms. The risk for any tornadoes looks very limited and would mainly be confined to areas north of Interstate 44. This line of storms will also produce frequent cloud to ground lightning and heavy rainfall rates. This may lead to flash flooding, especially near and west of an Osage Beach to Bolivar to Cassville line. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Thunderstorms will likely be ongoing Friday morning across southern Missouri with a marginal risk for a strong to severe storm or two. Thunderstorms will then remain possible at times into early Sunday. There will be a continued risk for flooding through at least Saturday, especially for locations that receive multiple rounds of heavy rainfall. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed later tonight for much of the area, mainly after midnight.
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