Elevated tornado, hail risk late tonight for Joplin area

 Hazardous Weather Outlook

National Weather Service Springfield MO
108 PM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021

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108 PM CDT Wed Mar 17 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated tornado risk.
  Elevated hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited flooding risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.
  Elevated snow risk.

DISCUSSION...

A second round of thunderstorms is still expected this afternoon
and evening. These storms could be capable of producing large
hail to the size of golf balls and wind gusts in excess of 70
mph. A few tornadoes will be possible, particularly across
southern Missouri this afternoon and this evening.

Given the wet soil conditions combined with elevated streamflows,
widespread rainfall will likely lead to flash flooding in some
areas. Low water crossings and low lying roads next to flashy
streams will have the greatest risk of flooding today and
tonight.

As cold air moves into the area late tonight, rain will mix with
and change to snow, especially over east-central Kansas and west-
central Missouri where 1-2 inches of snow will be possible.
Elsewhere, relatively warm air and ground temperatures will
prevent significant snow accumulations.

Winds will gust to 30-40 mph late this evening into tonight along
and west of highway 65.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Light snow will be possible Thursday morning. Little to no
additional snow accumulation is expected during the day Thursday.

Thunderstorm chances will increase Monday and Tuesday of next
work week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening,
 particularly across southern Missouri.