Wednesday, May 1, 2019

More thunderstorms today, tonight in Joplin area, elevated flooding risk

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
518 AM CDT Wed May 1 2019

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-021030-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
518 AM CDT Wed May 1 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited tornado risk.
  Limited hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated flooding risk.
  Significant lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

Scattered thunderstorms can be expected into this evening with
thunderstorms then becoming more numerous later tonight. Hail to
the size of quarters and locally damaging wind gusts will be
possible with a few of the storms.

There is a limited threat that a few supercell thunderstorms could
develop late this afternoon and this evening across northeast
Oklahoma and move northeast into portions of southeastern Kansas
and southwestern Missouri. If this scenario occurs, large hail to
the size of golf balls, damaging winds, and an isolated tornado
would be possible.

Flooding of numerous creeks, streams, and low water crossings
will also continue across the Missouri Ozarks through tonight.








.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Thunderstorms will then persist into Thursday with a few strong to
marginally severe storms possible mainly south of the Interstate
44 corridor. The main potential hazards will be hail to the size
of quarters and locally damaging winds. Residual flooding will
also likely persist.

The risk for thunderstorms will then persist into Friday with more
storms then possible from Sunday night through Tuesday.

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